SCENARIO DATASET
ⓘ Illustrative scenario: one technician’s simulated performance decline, shown from observed Eagle data. Scripted for demonstration; not an emergent finding. This page compares the SCENARIO alerting world against its own no-real-time-alerting passive counterfactual. Canonical data & dashboards untouched.
⚠  Sentinel Events Prevented: 1  recalled-lot component intercepted at the Materials scan, 2026-07-10: before any dose was compounded. In the measured baseline world the same lot PASSED photo review and reached a patient: no human cross-references a recall list mid-verification - that catch is automation-only.

WITHOUT REAL-TIME ALERTING: MEASURED BASELINE (passive-mode simulation: same pharmacy, same 184 days, cameras capture but do not alert; pharmacists verify from the photos. Facility-wide - does not respond to filters)

WITH EAGLE IV: MEASURED

ACCURACY

ANNUAL VALUE: HARD VS SOFT · materials valued order-by-order · labor from measured hands-on time

EVENT RATES per 10,000 preps · responds to filters

Accuracy Event Rates

ACCURACY

Sterility & Technique Flag Rates

STERILITY

Process & Documentation Rates

PROCESS

Flagged & Mitigated - Accuracy

MITIGATED

Flagged & Mitigated - Sterility

MITIGATED

Flagged & Mitigated - Process

MITIGATED

INTERCEPTIONS PER DAY (full window - does not respond to filters)

■ prevented (episodes)   ■ cleared false alarms

DOCUMENTATION ERRORS: CORRECTABLE REWORK VS FULL REMAKE itemized · measured baseline · /yr

ASSUMPTIONS & PROVENANCE · the assumptions that generated the order sets, the two simulated worlds, and every number above

Substrate & order sets: real data (GREEN)
70,563 real Phase-0 orders · 3 hoods · 184 days (2026-04-05→10-05) · 334 signatures: actual Need_By, priority, BUD, and 9.7% cancellation rate all completed original preps, full facility - no hood extrapolation (scenario world) two fully-simulated worlds on the SAME orders, technicians, and days: Eagle IV (real-time alerts) vs a no-real-time-alerting passive baseline (cameras capture, no alerts; pharmacists verify from the photos). 184/184 days each pass the invariant suite + B=projection(A) SCENARIO dataset: scripted degrading-tech illustration + STAT day-boundary dispatch fix: canonical data & dashboards untouched every technician action logged with timestamps, images, and CV confidence: the value is read from that observed stream, never from ground truth (structurally unreachable)
How errors & detection are modeled (YELLOW: the generative assumptions)
errors EMERGE per prep: per-technician propensity × fatigue × interruption over the real orders: distributions reported, never blanket rates tuned to an outcome volumetric: out-of-tolerance at |dev| > 10% (ISMP); Eagle optical alert at 8%; counted as COMMITTED errors only (a tech's own glance-and-redraw is not an error): the ±10% line is load-bearing and drug-flat here (a candidate for per-drug-class tolerance) high-alert biologics error at half propensity (extra bench scrutiny / double-checks) documentation-capture failure 0.00195 per critical presentation (MEDMARX ~30% doc share); recalled-lot = one scripted event per study EAGLE detection: materials scan (identity/expiry/lot), 3-camera temporal technique flag, step-sequence omission catch, Syringe Vision: all prevented in-hood; only septum-coring / touch-contamination can escape passive-baseline detection: photo-review is MAGNITUDE-GATED: 95% at the ±10% floor → 99% by 20% deviation · expiry 50% · recalled lot 0% (no human lot cross-check) · process/motion 5% (a still can't show a missed swab)
How dollars & hours are valued (the dashboard's own method)
materials valued ORDER-BY-ORDER: each remade prep at ITS own bill of materials (real vial counts × acquisition cost); a rework wastes $3 consumables only (the drug is retained): NOT a flat $/event labor from MEASURED in-hood hands-on cycle times acquisition costs (ref_price_list.csv) are per-vial ESTIMATES anchored to public price points (pip-tazo $3.13, AmBisome $328, micafungin $47, voriconazole $25/vial; IVIG $80/g): REPLACE with the site wholesaler export wages locked: technician $38/h · pharmacist $138/h · annualization ×2 (184 d → yr) biologic mix-shift (Lever A): reweighted to the non-hazardous $4.53M/hood benchmark at CONSTANT volume · cancellation intraday TIMING is synthetic (uniform): not modeled
Scenario note: built from the SCENARIO worlds (days_scenario vs days_baseline_scenario): a scripted degrading-technician illustration plus the STAT day-boundary dispatch fix. Illustrative scenario: one technician's simulated performance decline, shown from observed Eagle data.
Method: hard = cashable materials waste avoided, valued order-by-order; soft = reallocation & cost-avoidance labor, realized only if acted on; expired events treated as inventory signal, never booked; no double-counting (rework labor valued once, accelerated completion folded into capacity: that line labeled indicative). Provenance: every figure derives from the camera-observed stream + site records (fact_*); ground truth is structurally unreachable from the mart builder. Two fully-simulated 184-day worlds (Eagle IV alerting vs no-alerting passive), SCENARIO variants, on identical orders, compared world-to-world. Synthetic dataset: Eagle IV micro-simulation, 2026-04-05 → 2026-10-05.